UD Oliveirense beat CS Caldas 1-0 in Liga 3, Group B.
Venue: Campo da Mata.
Match details
Venue
Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
Coaches
Copa Luzia Aguiar Joao Nuno · Pedro Ribeiro
Match decisions & VAR
58'Red cardCS CaldasDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
CS Caldas
D. Almeida
Goncas
M. Rodeia
Nando
G. Pio
D. Nascimento
D. Izata
D. Clemente
F. Oliveira
J. Vieira
E. J. Mucuana Lobo
UD Oliveirense
U. Perez
L. Bastos
G. Loureiro
Joao Tavares
S. Martins
V. Santos
J. Daniel
T. Fonseca
D. Sancho
V. Braga
R. Rei
Match analysis
Finished ·
Last update:
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: UD Oliveirense won 0-1.
Story
CS Caldas vs UD Oliveirense: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
57' — G. Pio of CS Caldas was sent off. 78' — UD Oliveirense took the lead: 0-1. Y. Rodriguez scored it. UD Oliveirense won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CS CaldasDrawUD Oliveirense
Pre-match model estimate: CS Caldas 35%, draw 26%, UD Oliveirense 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CS Caldas win in 35% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and UD Oliveirense win 39%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Liga 3, Group B
