Crewe Alexandra vs Aston Villa U21: the story of the match
31' — Crewe Alexandra took the lead: 1-0. L. Offord scored it. 40' — Crewe Alexandra extended the lead: 2-0. A. Thibaut scored it. Half time: 2-0.
48' — Crewe Alexandra extended the lead: 3-0. J. Lankester scored it. 85' — Aston Villa U21 pulled one back: 3-1. M. Jenner scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 88' — Crewe Alexandra extended the lead: 4-1. J. Lankester scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Crewe Alexandra won 4-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Crewe AlexandraDrawAston Villa U21
Pre-match model estimate: Crewe Alexandra 69%, draw 16%, Aston Villa U21 15%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Crewe Alexandra took the lead on 31 minutes thanks to L. Offord, set up by C. Agius. A. Thibaut made it 2-0 for Crewe Alexandra after 40 minutes. Half-time: 2-0, Crewe Alexandra in front.
Crewe Alexandra extended their lead to 3-0 on 48 minutes thanks to J. Lankester, set up by S. Dancey. Aston Villa U21 pulled one back to make it 3-1 in the 85th minute: M. Jenner. Late on, in the 88th minute, Crewe Alexandra extended their lead to 4-1 through J. Lankester, set up by J. Gibson.
What it means
Crewe Alexandra ended Aston Villa U21's unbeaten run of 3 matches.
What’s next
Crewe Alexandra host Wigan Athletic next, on 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
EFL Trophy, Northern Group F
