Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CE Andratx beat CD Cardassar 3-2 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CE Andratx won 3-2.
Story
CE Andratx vs CD Cardassar: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 11' — CE Andratx took the lead: 1-0. 20' — CE Andratx extended the lead: 2-0. 43' — CD Cardassar pulled one back: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
55' — CE Andratx extended the lead: 3-1. 64' — CD Cardassar pulled one back: 3-2. After 46' the momentum swung to CD Cardassar. CE Andratx won 3-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CE AndratxDrawCD Cardassar
Pre-match model estimate: CE Andratx 40%, draw 25%, CD Cardassar 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
CE AndratxCD Cardassar
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min053
Last 15 min057
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CE Andratx win in 40% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and CD Cardassar win 35%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%. About 8.9 corners on average. About 5.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CE Andratx took the lead on 11 minutes. CE Andratx extended their lead to 2-0 on 20 minutes. CD Cardassar pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 43 minutes. Half-time: 2-1, CE Andratx in front.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards CD Cardassar. CE Andratx extended their lead to 3-1 on 55 minutes. CD Cardassar pulled one back to make it 3-2 on 64 minutes.
The statistics
CE Andratx had 0 shots (0 on target) to CD Cardassar's 7 (5). Corners finished 2-10. CE Andratx's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 44 for CD Cardassar, 9 for CE Andratx.
What it means
A 6-game wait for victory is over for CE Andratx. CD Cardassar have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
