Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Toledo beat UD Almansa 2-0 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
Match details
Coaches
– · Antonio Castillo
Match decisions & VAR
85'Red cardUD AlmansaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Toledo won 2-0.
Story
CD Toledo vs UD Almansa: the story of the match
8' — CD Toledo took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
59' — CD Toledo extended the lead: 2-0. 85' — UD Almansa had a player sent off. CD Toledo won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD ToledoDrawUD Almansa
Pre-match model estimate: CD Toledo 71%, draw 19%, UD Almansa 10%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Toledo win in 71% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and UD Almansa win 10%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 2-0 (14%); both teams score in 42%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Toledo took the lead on 8 minutes. It was CD Toledo 1-0 UD Almansa at half-time.
CD Toledo extended their lead to 2-0 on 59 minutes. UD Almansa had a player sent off on 85 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 11-6, 6-4 on target. CD Toledo won 4 corners, UD Almansa 4. 6 saves came from the UD Almansa goalkeeper. CD Toledo produced 111 dangerous attacks to UD Almansa's 43.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
