Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Mosconia and Sporting Gijon B drew 1-1 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
In our records CD Mosconia and Sporting Gijon B have met 4 times: CD Mosconia won 0, 3 ended level and Sporting Gijon B won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Sporting Gijon B 2-1 CD Mosconia.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
CD Mosconia vs Sporting Gijon B: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 18' — CD Mosconia took the lead: 1-0. 28' — Sporting Gijon B equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD MosconiaDrawSporting Gijon B
Pre-match model estimate: CD Mosconia 30%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon B 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
CD MosconiaSporting Gijon B
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min022
Last 15 min88
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Mosconia win in 30% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Sporting Gijon B win 42%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
