Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
CD Lugo
M. Martinez
R. Lucero
I. Garriz
P. Moreno
P. Haro
A. Ulloa
P. Parrilla
A. Palma
A. Gallar
Chiqui
M. Dauda
Racing Ferrol
L. Diaz
Miguel
E. Monjonell
G. Novoa
A. Ramon
E. Bujan
J. Bernal
F. Gonzalez
D. Ojeda
R. Arroyo
R. Alcaina
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: CD Lugo won 1-0.
Story
CD Lugo vs Racing Ferrol: the story of the match
20' — CD Lugo took the lead: 1-0. A. Gallar scored it. Half time: 1-0.
90' — T. Morchiladze of CD Lugo was sent off. CD Lugo won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD LugoDrawRacing Ferrol
Pre-match model estimate: CD Lugo 58%, draw 28%, Racing Ferrol 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.