CD La Serena vs CD Palestino: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
65' — CD La Serena took the lead: 1-0. Diego Rubio scored it. CD La Serena won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD La SerenaDrawCD Palestino
Pre-match model estimate: CD La Serena 39%, draw 26%, CD Palestino 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD La Serena win in 39% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CD Palestino win 35%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 30%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was CD La Serena 0-0 CD Palestino at half-time.
CD La Serena took the lead in the 65th minute: Diego Rubio.
The statistics
On target it was 3-2, from 6 and 2 attempts respectively. CD La Serena won 11 corners, CD Palestino 5.
What the result means
The result lifts CD La Serena to 9th with 37 points, up from 11th. CD Palestino drop from 6th to 7th on 38 points. CD Palestino have now gone 4 matches without a win. It is CD La Serena's first win over CD Palestino in the last 3 meetings on record.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga de Primera
