CD Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion: the story of the match
7' — CD Colo Colo took the lead: 1-0. Álvaro Madrid scored it. 9' — CD Colo Colo extended the lead: 2-0. Marcelo Correa scored it. 20' — CD Colo Colo extended the lead: 3-0. Marcelo Correa scored it. 37' — CD Colo Colo extended the lead: 4-0. Marcelo Correa scored it. 45' — CD Colo Colo extended the lead: 5-0. Marcelo Correa scored it. Half time: 5-0.
47' — Universidad de Concepcion pulled one back: 5-1. Jeison Fuentealba scored it. 52' — CD Colo Colo extended the lead: 6-1. Joaquín Sosa scored it. 57' — Benjamín Sáez of Universidad de Concepcion was sent off. CD Colo Colo won 6-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD Colo ColoDrawUniversidad de Concepcion
Pre-match model estimate: CD Colo Colo 73%, draw 16%, Universidad de Concepcion 11%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Colo Colo win in 73% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and Universidad de Concepcion win 11%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Colo Colo – Universidad de Concepcion match report
CD Colo Colo took the lead in the 7th minute: Álvaro Madrid, set up by Francisco Marchant. CD Colo Colo extended their lead to 2-0 in the 9th minute: Marcelo Correa, set up by G Díaz. CD Colo Colo extended their lead to 3-0 in the 20th minute: Marcelo Correa. Marcelo Correa made it 4-0 for CD Colo Colo after 37 minutes. CD Colo Colo extended their lead to 5-0 on 45 minutes thanks to Marcelo Correa, set up by Arturo Vidal.
It was CD Colo Colo 5-0 Universidad de Concepcion at half-time.
Jeison Fuentealba reduced the deficit for Universidad de Concepcion to 5-1 after 47 minutes, set up by Facundo Mater. CD Colo Colo extended their lead to 6-1 on 52 minutes thanks to Joaquín Sosa, set up by Víctor Méndez. Universidad de Concepcion were a man down from the 57th minute, when Benjamín Sáez was sent off.
What the numbers say
On target it was 10-1, from 12 and 11 attempts respectively. CD Colo Colo won 5 corners, Universidad de Concepcion 3.
What it means
CD Colo Colo have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Universidad de Concepcion have now gone 6 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga de Primera
