Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Ciudad de Lucena and CD Badajoz drew 1-1 in Segunda Federacion, Group V.
Match decisions & VAR
74'Penalty awardedCD Ciudad de LucenaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
CD Ciudad de Lucena vs CD Badajoz: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
75' — CD Ciudad de Lucena took the lead: 1-0. 77' — CD Badajoz equalised: 1-1. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD Ciudad de LucenaDrawCD Badajoz
Pre-match model estimate: CD Ciudad de Lucena 47%, draw 27%, CD Badajoz 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Ciudad de Lucena win in 47% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and CD Badajoz win 26%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 8.8 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Ciudad de Lucena took the lead on 75 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (77') CD Badajoz drew level at 1-1.
What the numbers say
CD Ciudad de Lucena had 4 shots (4 on target) to CD Badajoz's 7 (6). Corners finished 6-5. CD Ciudad de Lucena's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 152 for CD Ciudad de Lucena, 116 for CD Badajoz.
What the result means
CD Badajoz are now unbeaten in 7 matches.
Coming up
Next up for CD Ciudad de Lucena: away at Las Palmas Atletico on Sunday 15 November. CD Badajoz's next match is at home against CD Don Benito on 15 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Segunda Federacion, Group V
