CA Rosario Central vs AA Estudiantes: the story of the match
44' — CA Rosario Central took the lead: 1-0. Julián Fernández scored it. Half time: 1-0.
72' — Gastón Ávila of CA Rosario Central was sent off. 86' — CA Rosario Central extended the lead: 2-0. Emanuel Coronel scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CA Rosario Central won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA Rosario CentralDrawAA Estudiantes
Pre-match model estimate: CA Rosario Central 83%, draw 13%, AA Estudiantes 4%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Rosario Central win in 83% of the simulated matches, 13% end level and AA Estudiantes win 4%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 2-0 (17%); both teams score in 31%. About 10.6 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Rosario Central took the lead on 44 minutes thanks to Julián Fernández, set up by Gastón Ávila. CA Rosario Central led 1-0 at the break.
CA Rosario Central had a player sent off on 72 minutes: Gastón Ávila. Late on, in the 86th minute, CA Rosario Central extended their lead to 2-0 through Emanuel Coronel.
Match statistics
CA Rosario Central had 7 shots (5 on target) to AA Estudiantes' 2 (2). CA Rosario Central won 12 corners, AA Estudiantes 2. CA Rosario Central produced 89 dangerous attacks to AA Estudiantes' 35.
What the result means
The result takes CA Rosario Central to 31 points. AA Estudiantes move on to 5 points. CA Rosario Central have now won 5 in a row. AA Estudiantes' run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera LPF, Clausura
