CA Paranaense vs Atletico MG: the story of the match
8' — CA Paranaense took the lead: 1-0. Kerwin Vargas scored it. 27' — Atletico MG equalised: 1-1. Bernard scored it. Half time: 1-1.
73' — Tomás Pérez of Atletico MG was sent off. 93' — CA Paranaense went back in front: 2-1. Kevin Viveros scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 97' — Atletico MG equalised: 2-2. Lyanco scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA ParanaenseDrawAtletico MG
Pre-match model estimate: CA Paranaense 44%, draw 28%, Atletico MG 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Paranaense took the lead in the 8th minute: Kerwin Vargas, set up by Gilberto. Atletico MG drew level at 1-1 on 27 minutes thanks to Bernard. Half-time: 1-1 between CA Paranaense and Atletico MG.
Tomás Pérez saw a straight red card in the 73rd minute, leaving Atletico MG short-handed. Kevin Viveros put CA Paranaense 2-1 ahead after 93 minutes. Atletico MG drew level at 2-2 in the 97th minute: Lyanco, set up by Thiago Borbas.
The statistics
CA Paranaense had 19 shots (11 on target) to Atletico MG's 9 (8). CA Paranaense won 10 corners, Atletico MG 3. CA Paranaense produced 64 dangerous attacks to Atletico MG's 35.
What it means
CA Paranaense have now scored in 7 consecutive matches. Across 4 meetings in our records: 1 win for CA Paranaense, 2 wins for Atletico MG and 1 draw.
Next fixtures
Next up for Atletico MG: away at Mirassol FC on Saturday 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Brasileiro Serie A
