CA Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman: the story of the match
15' — Atletico Tucuman took the lead: 0-1. Juan Rodríguez scored it. 18' — Atletico Tucuman extended the lead: 0-2. Juan Rodríguez scored it. Half time: 0-2.
59' — CA Banfield pulled one back: 1-2. Alexander Machado scored it. 78' — CA Banfield equalised: 2-2. Lautaro Gómez scored it. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA BanfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
Pre-match model estimate: CA Banfield 40%, draw 28%, Atletico Tucuman 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Banfield win in 40% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Atletico Tucuman win 32%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 10.4 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Banfield had a goal ruled out in the 4th minute after a VAR review. VAR checked and confirmed the CA Banfield goal on 6 minutes. Atletico Tucuman took the lead on 15 minutes thanks to Juan Rodríguez, set up by Lautaro Godoy. Atletico Tucuman extended their lead to 2-0 in the 18th minute: Juan Rodríguez, set up by Lautaro Godoy. Half-time: 0-2, Atletico Tucuman in front.
Alexander Machado reduced the deficit for CA Banfield to 1-2 after 59 minutes. The officials disallowed a CA Banfield goal on 60 minutes. CA Banfield drew level at 2-2 on 78 minutes thanks to Lautaro Gómez.
Match statistics
The shot count read 8-4, 5-4 on target. CA Banfield won 6 corners, Atletico Tucuman 4. CA Banfield produced 89 dangerous attacks to Atletico Tucuman's 69.
What it means
The result takes CA Banfield to 19 points. Atletico Tucuman move on to 15 points. CA Banfield have now gone 4 matches without a win. Atletico Tucuman have now scored in 7 consecutive matches. Across 3 meetings in our records: 3 draws.
Next fixtures
CA Banfield's next match is at home against Boca Juniors on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera LPF, Clausura
