CA Aldosivi vs CA Sarmiento Junin: the story of the match
18' — CA Sarmiento Junin took the lead: 0-1. Junior Marabel scored it. 20' — CA Aldosivi equalised: 1-1. Lucas Castro scored it. Half time: 1-1.
86' — CA Sarmiento Junin went back in front: 1-2. Julián Mavilla scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 89' — CA Sarmiento Junin extended the lead: 1-3. Jonathan Herrera scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CA Sarmiento Junin won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA AldosiviDrawCA Sarmiento Junin
Pre-match model estimate: CA Aldosivi 32%, draw 29%, CA Sarmiento Junin 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Sarmiento Junin took the lead on 18 minutes thanks to Junior Marabel, set up by Jhon Rentería. CA Aldosivi drew level at 1-1 on 20 minutes thanks to Lucas Castro, set up by Martín García. It was CA Aldosivi 1-1 CA Sarmiento Junin at half-time.
Julián Mavilla put CA Sarmiento Junin 2-1 ahead after 86 minutes, set up by Jonathan Herrera. CA Sarmiento Junin extended their lead to 3-1 in the 89th minute: Jonathan Herrera, set up by Thyago Ayala.
The statistics
On target it was 5-4, from 7 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-1.
What it means
CA Sarmiento Junin have now scored in 7 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
