Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: the story of the match
18' — AFC Wimbledon took the lead: 0-1. J. Stockley scored it. 28' — Burton Albion equalised: 1-1. G. Evans scored it. 34' — Burton Albion completed the turnaround: 2-1. An own goal by A. Smith. Half time: 2-1.
46' — Burton Albion extended the lead: 3-1. C. Webster scored it. 76' — Burton Albion extended the lead: 4-1. C. Vickers scored it. Burton Albion won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Burton AlbionDrawAFC Wimbledon
Pre-match model estimate: Burton Albion 46%, draw 31%, AFC Wimbledon 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AFC Wimbledon took the lead on 18 minutes thanks to J. Stockley, set up by J. Tilley. G. Evans equalised for Burton Albion at 1-1 after 28 minutes. Burton Albion completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 34 minutes thanks to an own goal from A. Smith. It was Burton Albion 2-1 AFC Wimbledon at half-time.
Burton Albion extended their lead to 3-1 in the 46th minute: C. Webster, set up by K. Lofthouse. C. Vickers made it 4-1 for Burton Albion after 76 minutes, set up by S. Krubally.
Next fixtures
Burton Albion visit Milton Keynes Dons next, on 14 November. Next up for AFC Wimbledon: home to Blackpool on Saturday 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
