One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
BSC Young Boys IIKick-off0-0AC Bellinzona
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): BSC Young Boys II win in 48% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and AC Bellinzona win 30%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 68%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
0BSC Young Boys II1Draws1AC Bellinzona
Goals: 1 - 3 · last 2 meetings
Promotion LeagueBSC Young Boys II1 - 1AC Bellinzona
Promotion LeagueAC Bellinzona2 - 0BSC Young Boys II
Goals scored per match: 1.1Goals conceded per match: 1.7
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: BSC Young Boys II won 3-2.
Story
BSC Young Boys II vs AC Bellinzona: the story of the match
18' — BSC Young Boys II took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
61' — AC Bellinzona equalised: 1-1. 71' — BSC Young Boys II went back in front: 2-1. 76' — AC Bellinzona equalised: 2-2. 85' — BSC Young Boys II went back in front: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. BSC Young Boys II won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BSC Young Boys IIDrawAC Bellinzona
Pre-match model estimate: BSC Young Boys II 48%, draw 22%, AC Bellinzona 30%.
A goal in the 85th minute gave BSC Young Boys II a 3-2 win against AC Bellinzona in the Promotion League. It was 1-0 at half-time. The match was played on Sunday, 8 November 2026 (matchday 15).
Key moments
BSC Young Boys II took the lead on 18 minutes. It was BSC Young Boys II 1-0 AC Bellinzona at half-time.
AC Bellinzona drew level at 1-1 on 61 minutes. BSC Young Boys II went 2-1 up on 71 minutes. AC Bellinzona drew level at 2-2 on 76 minutes. Late on, in the 85th minute, BSC Young Boys II went 3-2 up.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 3-6. Cards: 2-3 in yellows. BSC Young Boys II's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 106 for AC Bellinzona, 88 for BSC Young Boys II. BSC Young Boys II committed 14 fouls to AC Bellinzona's 10, and the offside count read 0-1.
How they came into it
Before kick-off BSC Young Boys II were 14th on 15 points and AC Bellinzona 17th on 9 points. BSC Young Boys II came into the match with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 5 straight games. FC Grand-Saconnex beat BSC Young Boys II 2-1 last time out. Before kick-off, AC Bellinzona's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. AC Bellinzona lost 1-0 at home to FC Bulle in their last match. The record between them over the last 2 matches reads 0-1-1 from BSC Young Boys II's point of view. The last meeting, in 2021 in the Promotion League, finished 1-1.
What the result means
BSC Young Boys II climb from 14th to 13th on 18 points. AC Bellinzona slip to 18th (9 points), having started the day 17th. BSC Young Boys II have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
