This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Velez Sarsfield took the lead on 12 minutes thanks to D. Valdes. Boca Juniors drew level at 1-1 on 39 minutes thanks to S. Ascacibar. It was Boca Juniors 1-1 Velez Sarsfield at half-time.
What it means
Across 4 meetings in our records: 1 win for Boca Juniors, 2 wins for Velez Sarsfield and 1 draw.
Next fixtures
Boca Juniors visit CA Banfield next, on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera LPF, Clausura
