Bermuda vs Saint Lucia kick-off time: 13/11/2026 19:00
CONCACAF Nations League, League A, Group B
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- BermudaLLLLL5 defeats in a row
- Saint LuciaWWWLL3 wins in a row
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Bermuda and Saint Lucia meet on in CONCACAF Nations League, League A, Group B.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Saint Lucia (55%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Bermuda vs Saint Lucia: preview
Bermuda have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches. Bermuda have lost 5 matches in a row. 9 of Bermuda's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Saint Lucia have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Saint Lucia have won 3 matches in a row. 6 of Saint Lucia's last 9 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: Bermuda 26%, draw 19%, Saint Lucia 55%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Bermuda win in 26% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Saint Lucia win 55%. Average goals 4.0; the most likely score is 1-2 (9%); both teams score in 73%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
