Atletico Rafaela vs Quilmes AC: the story of the match
2' — Atletico Rafaela took the lead: 1-0. Martiniano Moreno scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-0.
51' — Agustín Solveyra of Atletico Rafaela was sent off. 68' — Martiniano Moreno of Atletico Rafaela was sent off. 81' — Ramiro Martínez of Quilmes AC was sent off. 81' — Ramiro Martínez of Atletico Rafaela was sent off. Atletico Rafaela won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Atletico RafaelaDrawQuilmes AC
Pre-match model estimate: Atletico Rafaela 34%, draw 38%, Quilmes AC 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Atletico Rafaela took the lead in the 2nd minute: Martiniano Moreno from the penalty spot. Atletico Rafaela led 1-0 at the break.
Atletico Rafaela were a man down from the 51st minute, when Agustín Solveyra was sent off. Martiniano Moreno saw a straight red card in the 68th minute, leaving Atletico Rafaela short-handed. Quilmes AC had a player sent off on 81 minutes: Ramiro Martínez. Atletico Rafaela were a man down from the 81st minute, when Ramiro Martínez was sent off.
Match statistics
The shot count read 2-5, 2-4 on target. Quilmes AC produced 84 dangerous attacks to Atletico Rafaela's 52.
The bigger picture
Atletico Rafaela end a run of 3 straight defeats. It is Atletico Rafaela's first win against Quilmes AC since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera B Nacional
