Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
52' — D. Huijsen of Real Madrid was sent off. 53' — Atletico Madrid took the lead: 1-0. A. Grimaldo scored from the penalty spot. 59' — Atletico Madrid extended the lead: 2-0. J. David scored it. 89' — Real Madrid pulled one back: 2-1. A. Rudiger scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Atletico Madrid won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
Pre-match model estimate: Atletico Madrid 33%, draw 29%, Real Madrid 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Atletico Madrid 0-0 Real Madrid at half-time.
D. Huijsen saw a straight red card in the 52nd minute, leaving Real Madrid short-handed. A. Grimaldo opened the scoring for Atletico Madrid after 53 minutes. Just 6 minutes later (59') Atletico Madrid extended their lead to 2-0, J. David on target, set up by G. Simeone. Real Madrid pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 89 minutes thanks to A. Rudiger, set up by B. Silva.
The bigger picture
Atletico Madrid have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Real Madrid's winning streak stops at 3.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga
