Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Athletic Bilbao B
M. Santos
D. Perez
B. Larrea
I. Monreal
I. El Arbaoui
J. Sola
E. Lete
A. Perez
I. Oyono
C. Imga
A. Pecina
CP Cacereno
D. Nieves
S. Lopez
J. Alonso
M. Molina
A. Exposito
I. Tellechea
A. Gete
N. Conesa
A. Monerris
O. Chit
J. Artola
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Athletic Bilbao B won 3-1.
Story
Athletic Bilbao B vs CP Cacereno: the story of the match
27' — Athletic Bilbao B took the lead: 1-0. I. Oyono scored it. Half time: 1-0.
47' — Athletic Bilbao B extended the lead: 2-0. I. Oyono scored it. 51' — Athletic Bilbao B extended the lead: 3-0. A. Pecina scored it. 89' — CP Cacereno pulled one back: 3-1. O. Chit scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Athletic Bilbao B won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Athletic Bilbao BDrawCP Cacereno
Pre-match model estimate: Athletic Bilbao B 51%, draw 26%, CP Cacereno 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Athletic Bilbao B win in 51% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CP Cacereno win 23%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Athletic Bilbao B took the lead on 27 minutes thanks to I. Oyono, set up by I. El Arbaoui. Athletic Bilbao B led 1-0 at the break.
Athletic Bilbao B extended their lead to 2-0 on 47 minutes thanks to I. Oyono. Athletic Bilbao B extended their lead to 3-0 on 51 minutes thanks to A. Pecina. Late on, in the 89th minute, CP Cacereno pulled one back to make it 3-1 through O. Chit.
What the result means
Athletic Bilbao B end a run of 4 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
