Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Hammarby TFF beat Assyriska FF 2-1 in 1. Division.
Venue: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena.
In our records Assyriska FF and Hammarby TFF have met 7 times: Assyriska FF won 3, 0 ended level and Hammarby TFF won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Hammarby TFF 4-0 Assyriska FF.
Match decisions & VAR
82'Penalty awardedHammarby TFFDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Hammarby TFF won 1-2.
Story
Assyriska FF vs Hammarby TFF: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with Hammarby TFF applying more of the pressure.
55' — Hammarby TFF took the lead: 0-1. 82' — Hammarby TFF extended the lead: 0-2. 90' — Assyriska FF pulled one back: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. After 76' the momentum swung to Assyriska FF. Hammarby TFF won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Assyriska FFHammarby TFF
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min9671
Last 15 min7855
Recorded from minute 3.
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Assyriska FF win in 27% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Hammarby TFF win 51%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%. About 10.8 corners on average. About 3.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 2-1 away win for Hammarby TFF against Assyriska FF in the 1. Division. The half-time score was 0-0.
The story of the match
The first half ended 0-0, with Hammarby TFF the side applying more pressure.
Hammarby TFF took the lead on 55 minutes. Assyriska FF took over after the 76th minute, pinning Hammarby TFF back. Hammarby TFF extended their lead to 2-0 on 82 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Assyriska FF pulled one back to make it 1-2.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 8-4, 7-3 on target. Assyriska FF won 5 corners, Hammarby TFF 4.
The bigger picture
It is now 4 straight defeats for Assyriska FF.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
