Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AS Pompier and Nouakchott King's drew 2-2 in League 1.
Match decisions & VAR
91'Red cardAS PompierDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
AS Pompier vs Nouakchott King's: the story of the match
28' — Nouakchott King's took the lead: 0-1. 45' — Nouakchott King's extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
69' — AS Pompier pulled one back: 1-2. 73' — AS Pompier equalised: 2-2. 91' — AS Pompier had a player sent off. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS PompierDrawNouakchott King's
Pre-match model estimate: AS Pompier 61%, draw 23%, Nouakchott King's 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AS Pompier win in 61% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Nouakchott King's win 16%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 45%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
