Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
AS Gubbio
N. Bagnolini
L. Baroncelli
A. Signorini
O. Barry
L. Podda
F. Zallu
G. Rosaia
N. Fazzi
L. Barani
M. Spina
A. La Mantia
AC Perugia Calcio
R. Zelezny
A. Tozzuolo
D. Riccardi
D. Stramaccioni
A. Cisco
G. Carriero
R. Ladinetti
C. Langella
M. Borsoi
P. van Amersfoort
E. Vergani
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: AC Perugia Calcio won 1-3.
Story
AS Gubbio vs AC Perugia Calcio: the story of the match
29' — AC Perugia Calcio took the lead: 0-1. D. Riccardi scored it. 37' — AS Gubbio equalised: 1-1. L. Barani scored it. Half time: 1-1.
47' — AC Perugia Calcio went back in front: 1-2. A. Tozzuolo scored it. 90' — AC Perugia Calcio extended the lead: 1-3. L. Canotto scored it. It came in the closing minutes. AC Perugia Calcio won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS GubbioDrawAC Perugia Calcio
Pre-match model estimate: AS Gubbio 39%, draw 30%, AC Perugia Calcio 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AC Perugia Calcio took the lead on 29 minutes thanks to D. Riccardi, set up by P. van Amersfoort. AS Gubbio drew level at 1-1 on 37 minutes thanks to L. Barani. It was AS Gubbio 1-1 AC Perugia Calcio at half-time.
AC Perugia Calcio went 2-1 up on 47 minutes thanks to A. Tozzuolo. AC Perugia Calcio extended their lead to 3-1 in the 90th minute: L. Canotto.
What it means
AS Gubbio have now gone 4 matches without a win. It is AC Perugia Calcio's first win over AS Gubbio in the last 4 meetings on record.
What’s next
Next up for AS Gubbio: home to US Grosseto on Saturday 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.