72' — Arsenal took the lead: 1-0. Martin Ødegaard scored it. Arsenal won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ArsenalDrawHull City
Pre-match model estimate: Arsenal 63%, draw 26%, Hull City 11%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Arsenal win in 63% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Hull City win 11%. Average goals 1.9; the most likely score is 1-0 (21%); both teams score in 27%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 3.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
On target it was 10-2, from 16 and 5 attempts respectively. Arsenal won 7 corners, Hull City 4. Arsenal produced 67 dangerous attacks to Hull City's 26.
What it means
Arsenal stay 1st on 27 points. Hull City drop from 11th to 13th on 11 points. Arsenal extend their unbeaten run to 9 matches. Hull City have now gone 9 matches without a win. It is Arsenal's first win against Hull City since 2017.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
