9' — Omonia 29M took the lead: 0-1. S. Ambri scored it. 17' — APOEL equalised: 1-1. F. Pedrozo scored from the penalty spot. 43' — APOEL completed the turnaround: 2-1. A. Bakasetas scored it. Half time: 2-1.
56' — APOEL extended the lead: 3-1. Marquinhos scored it. 74' — S. Fiakas of Omonia 29M was sent off. 76' — APOEL extended the lead: 4-1. F. Pedrozo scored it. APOEL won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
APOELDrawOmonia 29M
Pre-match model estimate: APOEL 75%, draw 16%, Omonia 29M 9%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): APOEL win in 75% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and Omonia 29M win 9%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-0 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
APOEL recovered from going behind and won 4-1 against Omonia 29M. APOEL owed a lot to F. Pedrozo, who struck twice.
Key moments
Omonia 29M took the lead on 9 minutes thanks to S. Ambri. APOEL drew level at 1-1 in the 17th minute: F. Pedrozo from the penalty spot. A. Bakasetas turned the game around for APOEL at 2-1 after 43 minutes. Half-time: 2-1, APOEL in front.
APOEL extended their lead to 3-1 on 56 minutes thanks to Marquinhos. Omonia 29M had a player sent off on 74 minutes: S. Fiakas. APOEL extended their lead to 4-1 in the 76th minute: F. Pedrozo.
What the numbers say
APOEL had 18 shots (10 on target) to Omonia 29M's 3 (2). Corners finished 11-0. Dangerous attacks: 64 for APOEL, 22 for Omonia 29M.
What it means
APOEL are now unbeaten in 4 matches. Omonia 29M have now scored in 9 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
First Division
