1' — Al-Riffa SC took the lead: 1-0. A. Madan scored it. 12' — Qatar SC equalised: 1-1. S. Soria scored it. 40' — Al-Riffa SC went back in front: 2-1. A. Saeed scored it. Half time: 2-1.
47' — Al-Riffa SC extended the lead: 3-1. T. Meziani scored it. 56' — Al-Riffa SC extended the lead: 4-1. Wellington scored it. Al-Riffa SC won 4-1.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al-Riffa SC win in 36% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Qatar SC win 40%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Al-Riffa SC took the lead in the 1st minute: A. Madan, set up by K. Al Aswad. S. Soria equalised for Qatar SC at 1-1 after 12 minutes, set up by Y. Lafrid. A Qatar SC goal stood after a VAR check in the 13th minute. Al-Riffa SC went 2-1 up on 40 minutes thanks to A. Saeed, set up by S. R. Issa. Al-Riffa SC led 2-1 at the break.
Al-Riffa SC extended their lead to 3-1 in the 47th minute: T. Meziani. VAR checked and confirmed the Al-Riffa SC goal on 48 minutes. Wellington made it 4-1 for Al-Riffa SC after 56 minutes, set up by Cleitinho.
The statistics
The shot count read 5-5, 4-3 on target. Corners finished 3-3. Dangerous attacks: 49 for Qatar SC, 32 for Al-Riffa SC.
The bigger picture
Qatar SC's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
