Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
Match decisions & VAR
65'Goal disallowedAl Karma SCDecision · Score 1-0
79'Goal disallowedAl Karma SCDecision · Score 3-1
82'Goal disallowedAl Karma SCDecision · Score 4-1
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
✓
Prediction right
We had a Al Karma SC win as the most likely outcome.
✓ Al Karma SC 60%✗ Most likely score 1-0
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Al Karma SC won 4-1.
Story
Al Karma SC vs Naft Maysan: the story of the match
21' — Al Karma SC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
68' — Al Karma SC extended the lead: 2-0. 71' — Naft Maysan pulled one back: 2-1. 74' — Al Karma SC extended the lead: 3-1. 82' — Al Karma SC extended the lead: 4-1. Al Karma SC won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Karma SCDrawNaft Maysan
Pre-match model estimate: Al Karma SC 60%, draw 22%, Naft Maysan 18%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Al Karma SCKick-off0-0Naft Maysan
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Karma SC win in 60% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Naft Maysan win 18%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%. About 8.9 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Al Karma SC thrashed Naft Maysan4-1 in the Iraq Premier League. It was 1-0 at half-time. The match was played on Friday, 6 November 2026 (matchday 13).
The story of the match
Al Karma SC took the lead on 21 minutes. Al Karma SC led 1-0 at the break.
The officials disallowed a Al Karma SC goal on 65 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (68') Al Karma SC extended their lead to 2-0. Just 3 minutes later (71') Naft Maysan pulled one back to make it 2-1. Just 3 minutes later (74') Al Karma SC extended their lead to 3-1. Al Karma SC had a goal ruled out in the 79th minute.
The officials disallowed a Al Karma SC goal on 82 minutes. Al Karma SC extended their lead to 4-1 on 82 minutes.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 5-2. The referee showed 7 yellow cards, 3 to Al Karma SC and 4 to Naft Maysan. Al Karma SC committed 5 fouls to Naft Maysan's 9.
How they came into it
Al Karma SC came into the match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches. Their most recent game was a 1-0 win over Duhok SC for Al Karma SC. Before kick-off, Naft Maysan's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Naft Maysan lost 2-0 away to Diyala FC in their last match. In 4 previous meetings, Al Karma SC have won 1, Naft Maysan 2, and 1 has been drawn. The last meeting, in 2026, finished 1-1. Those 4 games produced 13 goals, an average of 3.3 per match.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for Naft Maysan: 4 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
