Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Al Karma SC beat Naft Maysan 4-1 in Iraq Premier League.
In our records Al Karma SC and Naft Maysan have met 4 times: Al Karma SC won 1, 1 ended level and Naft Maysan won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Naft Maysan 1-1 Al Karma SC.
Match decisions & VAR
65'Goal disallowedAl Karma SCDecision · Score 1-0
79'Goal disallowedAl Karma SCDecision · Score 3-1
82'Goal disallowedAl Karma SCDecision · Score 4-1
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Al Karma SC won 4-1.
Story
Al Karma SC vs Naft Maysan: the story of the match
21' — Al Karma SC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
68' — Al Karma SC extended the lead: 2-0. 71' — Naft Maysan pulled one back: 2-1. 74' — Al Karma SC extended the lead: 3-1. 82' — Al Karma SC extended the lead: 4-1. Al Karma SC won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Karma SCDrawNaft Maysan
Pre-match model estimate: Al Karma SC 60%, draw 22%, Naft Maysan 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Karma SC win in 60% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Naft Maysan win 18%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%. About 8.9 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Al Karma SC thrashed Naft Maysan4-1 in the Iraq Premier League. It was 1-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
Al Karma SC took the lead on 21 minutes. Al Karma SC led 1-0 at the break.
The officials disallowed a Al Karma SC goal on 65 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (68') Al Karma SC extended their lead to 2-0. Just 3 minutes later (71') Naft Maysan pulled one back to make it 2-1. Just 3 minutes later (74') Al Karma SC extended their lead to 3-1. Al Karma SC had a goal ruled out in the 79th minute.
The officials disallowed a Al Karma SC goal on 82 minutes. Al Karma SC extended their lead to 4-1 on 82 minutes.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 5-2.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for Naft Maysan: 4 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
