17' — ENPPI SC took the lead: 0-1. A. Ehab scored it. 24' — ENPPI SC extended the lead: 0-2. M. Essam scored it. 34' — Al Ahli Cairo pulled one back: 1-2. M. Ateya scored it. Half time: 1-2.
69' — Al Ahli Cairo equalised: 2-2. Zizo scored from the penalty spot. 90' — Al Ahli Cairo completed the turnaround: 3-2. Afsha scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Al Ahli Cairo won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Ahli CairoDrawENPPI SC
Pre-match model estimate: Al Ahli Cairo 72%, draw 18%, ENPPI SC 10%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ENPPI SC took the lead on 17 minutes thanks to A. Ehab. ENPPI SC extended their lead to 2-0 on 24 minutes thanks to M. Essam, set up by E. Mayhoub. M. Ateya reduced the deficit for Al Ahli Cairo to 1-2 after 34 minutes. Half-time: 1-2, ENPPI SC in front.
Al Ahli Cairo drew level at 2-2 on 69 minutes thanks to Zizo from the penalty spot. Late on, in the 90th minute, Al Ahli Cairo completed the turnaround at 3-2 through Afsha, set up by S. Benjdida.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.