AFC Emley beat Whitby Town 2-1 in Northern Premier Division.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: AFC Emley won 2-1.
Story
AFC Emley vs Whitby Town: the story of the match
Half time: 1-0.
AFC Emley won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AFC EmleyDrawWhitby Town
Pre-match model estimate: AFC Emley 48%, draw 24%, Whitby Town 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AFC Emley win in 48% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Whitby Town win 28%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.