AFC Ajax (Wom) vs Malmo FF (Wom): the story of the match
2' — Malmo FF (Wom) took the lead: 0-1. Izzy D'Aquila scored it. Half time: 0-1.
57' — Malmo FF (Wom) extended the lead: 0-2. Tuva Agnes Maria Skoog scored it. 62' — AFC Ajax (Wom) pulled one back: 1-2. Amber Visscher scored it. Malmo FF (Wom) won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AFC Ajax (Wom)DrawMalmo FF (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: AFC Ajax (Wom) 40%, draw 25%, Malmo FF (Wom) 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AFC Ajax (Wom) win in 40% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Malmo FF (Wom) win 35%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Malmo FF (Wom) took the lead on 2 minutes thanks to Izzy D'Aquila. Malmo FF (Wom) led 1-0 at the break.
Malmo FF (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 in the 57th minute: Tuva Agnes Maria Skoog. AFC Ajax (Wom) pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 62 minutes thanks to Amber Visscher.
The statistics
The shot count read 9-6, 5-5 on target. Corners finished 3-6. Dangerous attacks: 91 for AFC Ajax (Wom), 42 for Malmo FF (Wom).
What it means
That is 5 straight wins for Malmo FF (Wom).
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Europa Cup - Women
