18' — ADT Tarma took the lead: 1-0. Juan Lucumí scored from the penalty spot. 42' — Cristian Enciso of CD Moquegua was sent off. Half time: 1-0.
66' — ADT Tarma extended the lead: 2-0. Said Peralta scored it. ADT Tarma won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ADT TarmaDrawCD Moquegua
Pre-match model estimate: ADT Tarma 60%, draw 23%, CD Moquegua 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ADT Tarma win in 60% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and CD Moquegua win 17%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ADT Tarma beat CD Moquegua2-0 without conceding at Estadio Unión Tarma. The half-time score was 1-0.
How the match unfolded
VAR awarded ADT Tarma a penalty in the 18th minute. ADT Tarma took the lead on 18 minutes thanks to Juan Lucumí from the penalty spot. CD Moquegua were a man down from the 42nd minute, when Cristian Enciso was sent off. ADT Tarma led 1-0 at the break.
Said Peralta made it 2-0 for ADT Tarma after 66 minutes.
The statistics
ADT Tarma won 5 corners, CD Moquegua 3.
What it means
ADT Tarma end a run of 3 matches without a win.
Coming up
Next up for ADT Tarma: away at Cusco FC on Monday 16 November. CD Moquegua's next match is at home against Atletico Grau on 16 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Division, Clausura
