Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AD Sarchi beat AD Rosario 3-1 in Segunda Division.
Match decisions & VAR
95'Penalty awardedAD SarchiDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AD Sarchi won 1-3.
Story
AD Rosario vs AD Sarchi: the story of the match
22' — AD Rosario took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
46' — AD Sarchi equalised: 1-1. 76' — AD Sarchi completed the turnaround: 1-2. 90' — AD Sarchi extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. AD Sarchi won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AD RosarioDrawAD Sarchi
Pre-match model estimate: AD Rosario 42%, draw 26%, AD Sarchi 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AD Rosario win in 42% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and AD Sarchi win 32%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AD Rosario took the lead on 22 minutes. AD Rosario led 1-0 at the break.
AD Sarchi drew level at 1-1 on 46 minutes. AD Sarchi completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 76 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, AD Sarchi extended their lead to 3-1.
The statistics
AD Rosario had 3 shots (1 on target) to AD Sarchi's 4 (4). AD Rosario won 7 corners, AD Sarchi 7.
What it means
AD Rosario have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
