AD Marco 09 vs USC Paredes: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
49' — AD Marco 09 took the lead: 1-0. P. Ribeiro scored it. 60' — USC Paredes equalised: 1-1. Miguel scored it. 84' — USC Paredes completed the turnaround: 1-2. D. Rodrigues scored it. 85' — USC Paredes extended the lead: 1-3. J. Yuk scored it. It came in the closing minutes. USC Paredes won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AD Marco 09DrawUSC Paredes
Pre-match model estimate: AD Marco 09 23%, draw 27%, USC Paredes 50%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AD Marco 09 win in 23% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and USC Paredes win 50%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 43%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AD Marco 09 took the lead in the 49th minute: P. Ribeiro. Miguel equalised for USC Paredes at 1-1 after 60 minutes, set up by P. Araujo. USC Paredes completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 84th minute: D. Rodrigues. USC Paredes extended their lead to 3-1 in the 85th minute: J. Yuk.
What the numbers say
AD Marco 09 had 3 shots (1 on target) to USC Paredes' 5 (2). Corners finished 1-7. Dangerous attacks: 147 for USC Paredes, 79 for AD Marco 09.
What it means
AD Marco 09 slip to 3rd (14 points), having started the day 2nd. USC Paredes remain 1st, now with 22 points. That is 4 straight wins for USC Paredes.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
