NetherlandsDerde Divisie Round 11Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
ACV Assen and VV DOVO drew 1-1 in Derde Divisie.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
27' — VV DOVO took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
90' — ACV Assen equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: ACV Assen 69%, draw 17%, VV DOVO 14%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ACV Assen win in 69% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and VV DOVO win 14%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 58%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
VV DOVO took the lead on 27 minutes. It was ACV Assen 0-1 VV DOVO at half-time.
Late on, in the 90th minute, ACV Assen drew level at 1-1.
Corners finished 7-1.
ACV Assen have now scored in 10 consecutive matches. VV DOVO end a run of 5 straight defeats.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
