70' — Al Faisaly Harmah took the lead: 0-1. Flávio scored it. Al Faisaly Harmah won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AbhaDrawAl Faisaly Harmah
Pre-match model estimate: Abha 34%, draw 26%, Al Faisaly Harmah 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Abha win in 34% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Al Faisaly Harmah win 40%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 53%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 3.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Al Faisaly Harmah beat Abha1-0 without conceding at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium. It was 0-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
It was Abha 0-0 Al Faisaly Harmah at half-time.
Al Faisaly Harmah took the lead on 70 minutes thanks to Flávio. VAR disallowed a Al Faisaly Harmah goal on 75 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 11-4. Dangerous attacks: 71 for Abha, 40 for Al Faisaly Harmah.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for Abha: 11 matches now. Al Faisaly Harmah have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Al Faisaly Harmah beat Abha for the first time since 2021.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
