OmanFootballSeason 26/27Professional League season simulation
Model estimate Al Seeb Club — 40% title chance
Updated
Chances
| Team | Pts | xPts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Seeb Club | 10 | 50.9 | 40% |
| Al Shabab Seeb | 12 | 49.8 | 32% |
| AL Nahda Al Buraimi | 13 | 46.8 | 14% |
| Bahla Club | 9 | 45.9 | 11% |
| Al Nasr SCSC Salalah | 12 | 40.5 | 2% |
| Oman Club | 6 | 35.9 | <1% |
| Saham SC | 10 | 32.6 | <1% |
| Fanja SC | 9 | 30.8 | 0% |
| Dhofar SCSC | 7 | 29.7 | 0% |
| Al Musannah SC | 7 | 29.6 | <1% |
| Sur SC | 6 | 28.1 | 0% |
| Sohar SC | 5 | 27.7 | 0% |
| Samail SC | 6 | 24.6 | 0% |
| Ibri Club | 5 | 24.2 | 0% |
TitlexPts = Expected final points
Percentages: the share of the simulated seasons that end in that range of places — the stronger the colour, the likelier.
Final position probabilities
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Seeb Club | 40 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||
| Al Shabab Seeb | 32 | 28 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||||||||
| AL Nahda Al Buraimi | 14 | 20 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 2 | |||||||
| Bahla Club | 11 | 18 | 23 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 3 | |||||||
| Al Nasr SCSC Salalah | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Oman Club | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| Saham SC | 2 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |||
| Fanja SC | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |||
| Dhofar SCSC | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 | |||
| Al Musannah SC | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | |||
| Sur SC | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | ||||
| Sohar SC | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | ||||
| Samail SC | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 29 | |||||
| Ibri Club | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 29 |
Model estimate from 10,000 simulated seasons: every remaining match is played with goal rates from both teams’ attack and defence (our global team rating, every league and cup on one scale, blended with a Dixon-Coles model of the league’s own results; recent matches weigh more), then the table is ranked with the tie-break rules. A probability, not a prediction of any single result. 140 remaining matches · data version simh2y. 140 pairings without a date yet were added from the double round robin.