League One Saisonsimulation
Modellschätzung Huddersfield Town — 28 % Titelchance
Aktualisiert
Chancen
| Team | Pkt | xPkt | Titel | Aufstieg | Aufstiegs-Play-off | Abstieg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town | 29 | 83,4 | 28% | 48% | 41% | 0% |
| Stockport County | 26 | 82,4 | 23% | 42% | 44% | 0% |
| Oxford United | 26 | 81,6 | 19% | 37% | 46% | 0% |
| Bradford City | 22 | 79,6 | 11% | 24% | 50% | 0% |
| Luton Town | 24 | 78,5 | 10% | 21% | 49% | 0% |
| FC Reading | 22 | 74,2 | 3% | 9% | 39% | 0% |
| Plymouth Argyle | 23 | 73,7 | 3% | 8% | 35% | 0% |
| Stevenage FC | 16 | 70,7 | 1% | 4% | 25% | <1% |
| Leicester City | 19 | 70,4 | 1% | 3% | 23% | <1% |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 20 | 69,6 | 1% | 3% | 21% | <1% |
| Leyton Orient | 17 | 66 | <1% | 1% | 10% | <1% |
| Wycombe Wanderers | 18 | 64,8 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% |
| Notts County | 14 | 63 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 1% |
| Cambridge United | 21 | 61,6 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 1% |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 18 | 59,7 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% |
| Mansfield Town | 19 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% |
| Burton Albion | 17 | 54,9 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 9% |
| FC Barnsley | 9 | 49,4 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 32% |
| Doncaster Rovers | 12 | 48,3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 37% |
| Wigan Athletic | 11 | 47,9 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 39% |
| Peterborough United | 10 | 46,3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 49% |
| FC Blackpool | 12 | 45,3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 55% |
| AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 43,4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 68% |
| Bromley FC | 9 | 32,3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 98% |
Prozente: Anteil der simulierten Spielzeiten, die in diesem Platzbereich enden — je kräftiger die Farbe, desto wahrscheinlicher.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Endplatzierung
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town | 28 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| Stockport County | 23 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| Oxford United | 19 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| Bradford City | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| Luton Town | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| FC Reading | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||
| Plymouth Argyle | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||
| Stevenage FC | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
| Leicester City | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
| Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Leyton Orient | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
| Wycombe Wanderers | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||
| Notts County | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Cambridge United | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||
| Mansfield Town | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||
| Burton Albion | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||
| FC Barnsley | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 2 | |||||||||||
| Doncaster Rovers | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| Wigan Athletic | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| Peterborough United | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| FC Blackpool | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 25 | 8 | ||||||||||||||
| Bromley FC | 2 | 5 | 13 | 77 |
Modellschätzung aus 10.000 simulierten Saisons: Jedes verbleibende Spiel wird mit Torraten aus Angriff und Abwehr beider Teams ausgetragen (unsere globale Team-Wertung – alle Ligen und Pokale auf einer Skala –, gemischt mit einem Dixon-Coles-Modell der Ergebnisse dieser Liga; neuere Spiele zählen stärker), anschließend wird die Tabelle nach den Entscheidungskriterien sortiert. Eine Wahrscheinlichkeit, keine Vorhersage eines einzelnen Ergebnisses. 394 verbleibende Spiele · Datenstand 14h6jv. 382 Paarungen ohne Termin wurden nach dem Modus mit Hin- und Rückrunde ergänzt.