Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Virtus Entella U19 beat AS Cittadella U19 1-0 in Campionato Primavera 2.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Virtus Entella U19 won 1-0.
Story
Virtus Entella U19 vs AS Cittadella U19: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
90' — Virtus Entella U19 took the lead: 1-0. It came in the closing minutes. Virtus Entella U19 won 1-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Virtus Entella U19DrawAS Cittadella U19
Pre-match model estimate: Virtus Entella U19 60%, draw 21%, AS Cittadella U19 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Virtus Entella U19 win in 60% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and AS Cittadella U19 win 19%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Virtus Entella U19 – AS Cittadella U19 match report