VfB Stuttgart II vs SC Verl: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
67' — VfB Stuttgart II took the lead: 1-0. T. van der Leij scored from the penalty spot. VfB Stuttgart II won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
VfB Stuttgart IIDrawSC Verl
Pre-match model estimate: VfB Stuttgart II 41%, draw 21%, SC Verl 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): VfB Stuttgart II win in 41% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and SC Verl win 38%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 71%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
VfB Stuttgart II beat SC Verl1-0 without conceding at comtech Arena. It was 0-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
It was VfB Stuttgart II 0-0 SC Verl at half-time.
The officials disallowed a VfB Stuttgart II goal on 63 minutes. VfB Stuttgart II took the lead in the 67th minute: T. van der Leij from the penalty spot.
The statistics
VfB Stuttgart II had 5 shots (4 on target) to SC Verl's 2 (0). Corners finished 5-4. Dangerous attacks: 107 for VfB Stuttgart II, 67 for SC Verl.
The bigger picture
VfB Stuttgart II climb from 13th to 12th on 18 points. SC Verl remain 17th, now with 12 points. VfB Stuttgart II have now scored in 11 consecutive matches. SC Verl have lost 4 in a row. VfB Stuttgart II had not beaten SC Verl in any of the previous 4 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
3. Liga
