This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): USFA win in 57% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and ASF Bobo Dioulasso win 16%. Average goals 2.0; the most likely score is 1-0 (19%); both teams score in 34%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Corners finished 6-1. Dangerous attacks: 63 for USFA, 35 for ASF Bobo Dioulasso.
What it means
USFA remain 2nd, now with 17 points. ASF Bobo Dioulasso stay 10th on 11 points. USFA are now unbeaten in 4 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for USFA, 1 win for ASF Bobo Dioulasso and 8 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
