Ternana (Wom) vs Como 1907 (Wom): the story of the match
25' — Como 1907 (Wom) took the lead: 0-1. A. Bonfantini scored it. Half time: 0-1.
77' — Ternana (Wom) equalised: 1-1. C. Strode scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Ternana (Wom)DrawComo 1907 (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Ternana (Wom) 24%, draw 23%, Como 1907 (Wom) 53%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ternana (Wom) win in 24% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Como 1907 (Wom) win 53%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Como 1907 (Wom) took the lead in the 25th minute: A. Bonfantini, set up by G. Moraca. Como 1907 (Wom) led 1-0 at the break.
Ternana (Wom) drew level at 1-1 in the 77th minute: C. Strode.
What the numbers say
Ternana (Wom) had 5 shots (5 on target) to Como 1907 (Wom)'s 8 (7). Corners finished 1-6. Dangerous attacks: 87 for Como 1907 (Wom), 71 for Ternana (Wom).
What the result means
Como 1907 (Wom) are now unbeaten in 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
