Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros UDG kick-off time: 13/11/2026 02:00
Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Atletico MoreliaWWLWLScored in 12 matches in a row
- Leones Negros UDGWLWWL
Recent meetings
More- Liga de Expansion MXAtletico Morelia2 - 0Leones Negros UDG
- Liga de Expansión MXLeones Negros UDG2 - 0Atletico Morelia
- Liga de Expansión MXAtletico Morelia2 - 3Leones Negros UDG
Liga de Expansion MX
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Morelia | 15 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas FC de Veracruz | 15 | +12 | 25 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Atletico Morelia and Leones Negros UDG meet on in Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura.
Venue: Estadio Morelos.
In our records Atletico Morelia and Leones Negros UDG have met 7 times: Atletico Morelia won 2, 0 ended level and Leones Negros UDG won 5.
Their latest meeting (): Atletico Morelia 2-0 Leones Negros UDG.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Atletico Morelia (54%).
Why it matters: A win could put Leones Negros UDG top of the table.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros UDG: preview
Atletico Morelia have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Atletico Morelia have scored in 12 matches in a row. 6 of Atletico Morelia's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8. Leones Negros UDG have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Leones Negros UDG's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 7 meetings, Atletico Morelia won 2, 0 ended level and Leones Negros UDG won 5. Atletico Morelia are in position 3 with 26 points, Leones Negros UDG in position 2 with 30 points. A win could lift Leones Negros UDG as high as position 1.
Our pre-match model estimate: Atletico Morelia 54%, draw 22%, Leones Negros UDG 24%.
Table by result
- A win takes them top.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Atletico Morelia win in 54% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Leones Negros UDG win 24%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 5.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 37%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.