Leones Negros UDG vs Atletico Morelia kick-off time: 15/11/2026 18:00
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Leones Negros UDGWLWWL
- Atletico MoreliaWWLWLScored in 12 matches in a row
Recent meetings
More- Liga de Expansión MXAtletico Morelia2 - 0Leones Negros UDG
- Liga de Expansión MXLeones Negros UDG2 - 0Atletico Morelia
- Liga de Expansión MXAtletico Morelia2 - 3Leones Negros UDG
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Leones Negros UDG and Atletico Morelia meet on in Liga de Expansión MX.
In our records Leones Negros UDG and Atletico Morelia have met 7 times: Leones Negros UDG won 5, 0 ended level and Atletico Morelia won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Atletico Morelia 2-0 Leones Negros UDG.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Leones Negros UDG (49%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Leones Negros UDG vs Atletico Morelia: preview
Leones Negros UDG have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Leones Negros UDG's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. Atletico Morelia have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Atletico Morelia have scored in 12 matches in a row. 6 of Atletico Morelia's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
In their last 7 meetings, Leones Negros UDG won 5, 0 ended level and Atletico Morelia won 2.
Our pre-match model estimate: Leones Negros UDG 49%, draw 25%, Atletico Morelia 26%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Leones Negros UDG win in 49% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Atletico Morelia win 26%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.