Alacranes de Durango vs Leones Negros UDG kick-off time: 04/11/2026
Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura
Last 5 matches
More- Alacranes de DurangoLWWLWScored in 5 matches in a row
- Leones Negros UDGWLWWL
Recent meetings
More- Liga de Expansion MXLeones Negros UDG2 - 1Alacranes de Durango
- Liga de Expansion MXAlacranes de Durango1 - 0Leones Negros UDG
- Liga de Expansion MX, AperturaAlacranes de Durango1 - 2Leones Negros UDG
Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Morelia | 15 | +7 | 26 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 | Alacranes de Durango | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala FC | 15 | +2 | 22 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
In our records Alacranes de Durango and Leones Negros UDG have met 10 times: Alacranes de Durango won 3, 2 ended level and Leones Negros UDG won 5.
Their latest meeting (): Leones Negros UDG 2-1 Alacranes de Durango.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Alacranes de Durango (45%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Alacranes de Durango vs Leones Negros UDG: preview
Alacranes de Durango have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Alacranes de Durango have scored in 5 matches in a row. 5 of Alacranes de Durango's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Leones Negros UDG have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Leones Negros UDG's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 10 meetings, Alacranes de Durango won 3, 2 ended level and Leones Negros UDG won 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: Alacranes de Durango 45%, draw 27%, Leones Negros UDG 28%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsWhat the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Alacranes de Durango win in 45% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Leones Negros UDG win 28%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 49%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
