Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Fairfield and Merrimack meet on in NCAA Division I.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Fairfield (46%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
46%28%26%
Fairfield46%Draw28%Merrimack26%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Fairfield vs Merrimack: preview
Fairfield have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 2 of Fairfield's last 5 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2. Merrimack have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Merrimack are unbeaten in 4 matches. 2 of Merrimack's last 6 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Fairfield 46%, draw 28%, Merrimack 26%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Fairfield win in 46% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Merrimack win 26%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 43%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, Fairfield have collected 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Fairfield average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last 5.
Over the last 5 matches, Merrimack have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. 4 games without defeat for Merrimack. 3 of Merrimack's last 6 matches ended without a goal conceded.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
