Porto U19 vs SSC Napoli U19: the story of the match
8' — Porto U19 took the lead: 1-0. T. Silva scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-0.
50' — Porto U19 extended the lead: 2-0. E. Ferreira scored it. 64' — Porto U19 extended the lead: 3-0. D. Cunha scored it. 71' — SSC Napoli U19 pulled one back: 3-1. C. Liccardo scored it. Porto U19 won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Porto U19DrawSSC Napoli U19
Pre-match model estimate: Porto U19 84%, draw 11%, SSC Napoli U19 5%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Porto U19 win in 84% of the simulated matches, 11% end level and SSC Napoli U19 win 5%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 3-0 (11%); both teams score in 48%. About 10.4 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SSC Napoli U19 went down 3-1 to Porto U19 in the UEFA Youth League. The half-time score was 1-0.
How the match unfolded
Porto U19 took the lead on 8 minutes thanks to T. Silva from the penalty spot. Porto U19 led 1-0 at the break.
Porto U19 extended their lead to 2-0 on 50 minutes thanks to E. Ferreira, set up by T. Silva. Porto U19 extended their lead to 3-0 on 64 minutes thanks to D. Cunha, set up by H. Froholdt. C. Liccardo reduced the deficit for SSC Napoli U19 to 3-1 after 71 minutes, set up by F. Barido.
What the numbers say
On target it was 4-6, from 7 and 11 attempts respectively. Porto U19 won 2 corners, SSC Napoli U19 6.
What the result means
The result lifts Porto U19 to 8th with 9 points, up from 12th. SSC Napoli U19 drop from 27th to 29th on 3 points. Porto U19 ended SSC Napoli U19's unbeaten run of 5 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
