Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Orebro SK
J. Ojrzyński
C. Amatkarijo
V. Sandberg
M. Watson
J. Stenberg
A. Yakoub
E. Rakip
M. Kusu
J. Ortmark
K. Holmberg
R. Wiedesheim-Paul
Osters IF
C. Lundahl Persson
T. Varmanen
M. Due Grandt
M. Adolfsson
R. Adjei
K. Marrah
H. Pijaca
N. Söderberg
O. Uddenäs
K. Jawla
S. Burakovsky
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Orebro SK vs Osters IF: the story of the match
39' — Orebro SK took the lead: 1-0. M. Kusu scored it. Half time: 1-0.
51' — Osters IF equalised: 1-1. K. Jawla scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Orebro SKDrawOsters IF
Pre-match model estimate: Orebro SK 57%, draw 20%, Osters IF 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Orebro SK win in 57% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Osters IF win 23%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 67%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It finished 1-1 between Orebro SK and Osters IF at Behrn Arena. It was 1-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
Orebro SK took the lead in the 39th minute: M. Kusu. It was Orebro SK 1-0 Osters IF at half-time.
Osters IF drew level at 1-1 on 51 minutes thanks to K. Jawla.
Match statistics
The shot count read 17-11, 4-4 on target. Corners finished 7-1. Dangerous attacks: 206 for Orebro SK, 125 for Osters IF.
The bigger picture
Orebro SK remain 13th, now with 30 points. Osters IF stay 7th on 46 points. Orebro SK have now scored in 9 consecutive matches. Osters IF's winning streak stops at 3. Across 10 meetings in our records: 1 win for Orebro SK, 4 wins for Osters IF and 5 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
