Slovenia3.SNL Round 13Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
NK Tolmin beat NK Vipava 1-0 in 3.SNL.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result verified.
Full time: NK Tolmin won 0-1.
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 45' — NK Tolmin took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1, with NK Tolmin applying more of the pressure.
NK Tolmin won 0-1.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: NK Vipava 9%, draw 13%, NK Tolmin 78%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2 (no dangerous-attack data for this match).
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): NK Vipava win in 9% of the simulated matches, 13% end level and NK Tolmin win 78%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 0-3 (9%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.0 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
NK Tolmin took the lead on 45 minutes. It was NK Vipava 0-1 NK Tolmin at half-time; NK Tolmin had the better of the pressure.
NK Vipava won 2 corners, NK Tolmin 9.
NK Vipava have now gone 5 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
