Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: NK Celje won 1-2.
Story
NK Radomlje vs NK Celje: the story of the match
16' — NK Celje took the lead: 0-1. 31' — NK Celje extended the lead: 0-2. 45' — NK Radomlje pulled one back: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
NK Celje won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
NK RadomljeDrawNK Celje
Pre-match model estimate: NK Radomlje 13%, draw 17%, NK Celje 70%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): NK Radomlje win in 13% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and NK Celje win 70%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
NK Celje took the lead on 16 minutes. NK Celje extended their lead to 2-0 on 31 minutes. NK Radomlje pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 45 minutes. NK Celje led 2-1 at the break.
The officials disallowed a NK Celje goal on 46 minutes.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 3-6. Dangerous attacks: 73 for NK Celje, 47 for NK Radomlje.
What it means
NK Radomlje remain 10th, now with 8 points. NK Celje climb from 4th to 3rd on 23 points. NK Celje are now unbeaten in 7 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
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